Conclusions

The ongoing disturbances of the atmosphere that affect the biogeochemical and physical processes that determine the climate may influence human and natural systems in profound ways. We have attempted to outline a few of the major ecosystem services that are associated with climate and the atmosphere, as well as introduce the challenging task of quantifying, and ultimately monetizing, these services. Current monetized estimates of climate damage by the middle of the 21st century from typical climate change scenarios range from slight economic benefit to a trillion or more dollars lost annually, with most macroeconomic assessments assuming a one to two percent annual loss to GWP from climate change. Moreover, the interacting processes and biogeochemical cycles occurring across a wide spectrum of scales lead to synergistic effects that are not usually considered and sometimes not even known (i.e. surprises) when we attempt to disaggregate and value ecosystem services (e.g. Schneider and Turner, 1995) . The deforestation of the Amazon basin is one example of interacting scales where land use change affecting local and regional climate may also produce a net global residual. Even if the mosaic of regional effects average themselves out globally, there could be residual effects arising from heterogeneous forcing of the climate in areas outside of the tropics (i.e. regional high concentrations of sulfate aerosols or tropospheric ozone).

Ecosystems both mediate and respond to the climate system through a variety of physical, biological, and chemical feedback cycles. The uncertainty of resulting synergisms and potential global effects, as exemplified in the Amazon basin, points to the important challenge of defining and understanding the processes that link species and ecosystems with climate. With increasing knowledge, we can better anticipate ecological responses under changing climate scenarios. Meanwhile, humanity continues to perform this potentially trillion dollar unnatural experiment on "Laboratory Earth".


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References